So the system keeps producing the same shape of mistake: overconfident and seemingly biased projections followed by quiet walk-backs, with very little accountability in between.
And over time, that erodes trust — not just in specific forecasts, but in the entire category of “expert consensus,” even when it’s right.
The uncomfortable takeaway is that the issue isn’t whether gas prices go up or down in any given month — it’s whether anyone can meaningfully separate signal from narrative anymore. And with “experts” like these, it’s becoming increasingly harder to separate those two things.
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